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Jason Furman Following @jasonfurman The other day a student asked me about the prevalence of insider trading in prediction markets.I now have an answer. $21,218,835 Vol. 2 0 Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025 Maria Corina Machado 100.0% Donald Trump <1% Pope Leo XIV <1% Polymarket Yulia Navalnaya <1% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 12:00pm 4:00pm 8:00pm 12:00am 4:00am 1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL 0