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Sample P(doom) values edi] Name P(doom) Notes : Dario Amodei 10-25%[6] CEO of Anthropic Elon Musk 10-20%[9] Businessman and CEO of X, Tesla, and SpaceX Paul Christiano 50%[10] Head of research at the US Al Safety Institute Lina Khan 15%[6] Chair of the Federal Trade Commission Emmet Shear 5-50%[6] Co-founder of Twitch and former interim CEO of OpenAl Geoffrey Hinton 10%-50%[6][Note 1] Al researcher, formerly of Google Computer scientist and scientific director of the Montreal Institute Yoshua Bengio 20%[3][Note 2] for Learning Algorithms Al alignment researcher at Anthropic, formerly of DeepMind and Jan Leike 10-90%[1] OpenAl Vitalik Buterin 10%[1] Cofounder of Ethereum Dan Hendrycks 80%+ [1][Note 3] Director of Center for Al Safety Grady Booch C. 0%[1][Note 4] American software engineer Casey Newton 5%[1] American technology journalist Eliezer 95%+ [1] Founder of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute Yudkowsky Roman 99.9%[11][Note 5] Latvian computer scientist Yampolskiy Marc 0%[12] American businessman Andreessen Yann Le Cun <0.01%[13][Note 6] Chief Al Scientist at Meta Toby Ord 10%[14] Australian philosopher and author of The Precipice Demis Hassabis >0%[15] Co-founder and CEO of Google DeepMind and Isomorphic Labs Emad Mostaque 50%[16] Co-founder of Stability Al

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